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24/05/2018
How Negative Social Psychologies Threaten Democractic Participation, Policy and Global Civil Society
See my recent CECAN interview with Professor Phil Haynes on the threatening role that negative and unhealthy social psychologies play in democratic participation, policy and global civil society. The interview is based on my new book, The Defiance of Global Commitment: A Complex Social Psychology.
CLICK HERE FOR INTERVIEW
15/05/2018
The Defiance of Global Commitment: A Complex Social Psychology
-->My new
book, The Defiance of Global Commitment: A Complex Social
Psychology is out!
Focused
on recent events at the global level -- from the Brexit vote and the election
of Trump to the upsurge of European nationalism and the devolution of the Arab
Spring to Chinese expansionism and the riotous instabilities of the world
capitalist system -- in my new book (which is part of the Routledge complexity in social science series) I seek to do the following three things:

THE SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY OF DEFIANCE:
First, I seek to
outline a social psychology of how and why people are defying their global
commitments to one another. More
specifically, I seek to:
- Make sense of the growing rebellion we see, the world-over, against the hard-won advances in global civil society -- particularly in terms of the rights of women, minorities, the poor, refugees, and the LGBTQI communities, as well as the ecological rights of all life on planet earth.
- Explore, in turn, the simultaneous nostalgic desire that people, increasingly, have to turn away from each "other" and toward their own, all in a desperate effort to reclaim the things they believe globalization (in the form of "others") has taken away from them -- be this view of things right or wrong.
- Go deep into the human psyche -- by drawing on the work of Freud and recent advances in affective neuroscience and cognitive and social psychology -- to examine how this widespread defiance and nostalgic withdrawal is being driven by a social psychology of resentment, fear, hatred, irrational sentiments, xenophobia, cognitive distortions, kin-selection, and a lust for power and death.
- And, finally, how this social psychology -- a culture of cruelty, if you will -- is quickly becoming en vogue today as it is fed by an endless stream of social media, identity politics, populist rhetoric, and the strong-arms of the world.
A SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY OF RESISTANCE:
Not
stopping there, however, I also seek to explore how this negative psychology is
being challenged and fought against by the therapeutic forces of global civil
society and the healthy social psychologies of resistance -- from the United Nations to the #MeToo and #BlackLivesMatter movements.
DEVELOPING THE ADJACENT POSSIBLE:
Finally,
based on my model of global power relations, I seek to offer some useful ways to address the problem. My focus is on two key areas: a social psychology of public policy and a psychology of love and care of others.
A NEW SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY OF PUBLIC POLICY:
We don’t discuss it much, but the social psychology and mental health of a community is just as important as its economic and political well-being. And, just like the psychology of an individual, the mental health (and healthy awareness) of a community can become dysfunctional, particularly in the face of widespread change – as we see with globalization today – and in the face of the escalating conflicts, fears, resentments and aggressions that often surround it, as I just mentioned.
Equally
Important, when the mental health of a community becomes problematic, people
fall prey to feel-good decisions and unhealthy choices – as well as the
political strong-arms of the world – which seem, on the face of it,
self-preserving, but are often, in the long-run, not good. We see this,
for example, in the growing embraces of ethnic nationalism, global capitalism,
the fight against ecological preservation, and the negative reactions against
the civil rights of women, ethnic minorities, refugees, and the LGBT
communities.
The
challenge, then, is to counteract this pathology by improving the mental health
(and healthy outlook) of communities – hence the role of global civil society
and public policy. And, it is important, to point out, we already have
good models for doing this work. They come from the fields of community
and public health, which have always been in the business of developing (and
evaluating) policies that seek to improve the mental and physical well-being of
communities. And, given such transformative goals, these fields have
always had to deal with politics, power, and conflicts, as well as the
emotional irrationalities and cognitive biases and social psychologies of
people. So, it has been and can be (and also very much needs to be) done.
A RENEWED PSYCHOLOGY OF LOVE AND CARE:
Finally, I argue for a renewed psychology of love and care. Freud’s big point in Civilization and Its Discontents – upon which
my current books is based -- is that our best chance at even the smallest
degree of happiness in life comes from the advances of civil society; but all
such advances – particularly in terms of social justice – require people to make
sacrifices to get along; and people don’t like doing that, as they think they
are somehow giving up more than they are getting (which they often are), and so
they rebel against their global social commitments; which, ironically enough,
threatens the very chance most people have at happiness. In other words, the success of global civil
society, it seems, is built on a social psychological conundrum: a sort of psychic
catch-22 if you will.
As such, for Freud (and for me), the best counterpoint to
this negative state of affairs is the absurdity of the commandment to love
others as ourselves, including our enemies. Being
so heavily influenced by Foucault, I am not sure, however, that I would say my usage of the
term “love” is a totalizing discourse or logic.
Instead, I think it points to the positive role that socialization, in
all of its various cultural and political forms, has on the psychology of
people, mainly through the inscription of morals and mores and values and
beliefs. And I think Freud’s point was
similar: the psychological absurdity of loving others, including our enemies,
is his therapeutic challenge to the catch-22 of our human existence. In other words, the only real counter-point
to the defiance of our social commitments, at least at the psychological level,
is to socialize people to better manage themselves and to see the value in it.
For
Foucault, the word “love” is translated into “care” and, in turn, leads him to
a meditation on how communities – historically speaking – have variously thought
it best to care for ourselves and others; as in the great Delphic precept, “to
take care of yourself; or to be concerned, to take care of yourself.”
And,
as Foucault demonstrates throughout his writings, through such meditations
society is constantly up against such key sociological questions such as: How
does love or care translate into justice?
And, what is being just? And,
what is a just community or society? For
example, in the policy realm, these meditations lead to such questions as: What
is a just social policy? Or, what
constitutes equity or parity on the part of a government or some piece of
legislation? And, should governments and
policy makers even be in the business of being just? Which, in turn, leads to the examination of
such core sociological themes as domination and exploitation and inequality and
so forth.
Anyway,
that gives a sense of it.
16/02/2018
Our "Power Grid as a Complex System" Chapter in the Reliaiblity First Newsletter!
Our new chapter in the HANDBOOK OF RESEARCH METHODS IN COMPLEXITY SCIENCE Theory and Applications made it into the RelabilityFirst newsletter.
Carl, the lead author on our paper, was interviewed for the Newsletter. Here is a JPG of the interview:
For those who are new to grid management in the States, here is how ReliabilityFirst defines its mission on its website:
The electric grid is the backbone of our economy, critical for our national security, and necessary to support the public welfare. A reliable and secure electric grid is fundamental to our most basic daily routines and needs.
Our mission is to ensure that the electric grid is reliable and secure -- not only for today but also for tomorrow. To achieve this mission, our team identifies and prioritizes risks facing our electric grid; determines mitigation strategies to address these risks; and develops and deploys communication and outreach strategies to drive awareness and further ensure risk resolution.
Carl, the lead author on our paper, was interviewed for the Newsletter. Here is a JPG of the interview:
05/02/2018
HANDBOOK OF RESEARCH METHODS IN COMPLEXITY SCIENCE Theory and Applications

For those interested, you can explore the book (similar to Google Books)! CLICK HERE. As stated on the book's website:
This comprehensive Handbook is aimed at both academic researchers and practitioners in the field of complexity science. The book’s 26 chapters, specially written by leading experts, provide in-depth coverage of research methods based on the sciences of complexity. The research methods presented are illustratively applied to practical cases and are readily accessible to researchers and decision makers alike.
Yes, Infrastructures are Socially Complex!
We have a chapter in the book, which I am rather proud of, as it really pushes the utility of complex systems thinking and case-based complexity for making sense of the role social factors play in grid reliability. As we state in the first paragraph of our chapter:We wrote this chapter to address a major limitation in the current literature: the continued and significant failure to address the profound but oft-hidden role that complexity and, more specifically ‘social complexity’ play in the reliability and resiliency of various infrastructures. In doing so, we follow a ‘small but growing trend’ in several interconnected literature, ranging from systems engineering and engineering infrastructures to globalization studies and urban design to green architecture and social policy to ecology and sustainability, which seek to understand infrastructures from a complex social systems perspective (e.g., Braha et al., 2006; Byrne 2013; Byrne and Callaghan 2015; Capra and Luisi 2015; Gerrits 2012; Gerrits & Marks 2015; Haynes 2015; Pagani & Aiello, 2013, 2015; Teisman, Buuren & Gerrits 2009).
01/02/2018
The Ontology of Big Data: A Complex Realist Perspective
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Many
thanks to everyone at the ODYCCEUS Project for the opportunity to
present my ideas in Venice, January 29-30, 2018 -- in particular, Eckehard Olbrich, Massimo
Warglien, and Petter Törnberg. It was a great
symposium!
09/01/2018
2018 Map of the Complexity Sciences
Just released the new 2018 version of the map of the complexity sciences.
Lots of updates, with new areas of study and new scholars. The big advances in the field seem to be about integration and application, with such new areas as mixed-methods, interdisciplinary research, policy and applied complexity.
Also, in response to numerous requests, I have also updated the HOW TO READ MAP section.
Lots of updates, with new areas of study and new scholars. The big advances in the field seem to be about integration and application, with such new areas as mixed-methods, interdisciplinary research, policy and applied complexity.
20/12/2017
Brian Castellani -- Featured Author at Routledge -- THE DEFIANCE OF GLOBAL COMMITMENT: A COMPLEX SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY
Check out my new featured author profile at Routledge for my new book,
THE DEFIANCE OF GLOBAL COMMITMENT:
A COMPLEX SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY
THE DEFIANCE OF GLOBAL COMMITMENT:
A COMPLEX SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY
20/11/2017
Dynamic Pattern Synthesis for Modeling Complex Systems. An Interview with Phil Haynes
The following interview was conducted with Phil Haynes,
He is Professor of Public Policy and researches and teaches public policy
and management, as applied to a variety of contemporary circumstances.
His research focuses on the application of complex systems theory, often
using applied statistical methods. His research has been funded by the
ESRC and the government and voluntary sector. He has published in a
wider variety of journals including Social Policy and Administration and Public Management Review. He is author of several books including Managing Complexity in the Public Services (2015) now in its second edition.
His most recent book, which is part of our complexity in social sciences series at Routledge, is aptly titled, SOCIAL SYNTHESIS: Finding Dynamic Patterns in Complex Social Systems.
BOOK DESCRIPTION:
How is it possible to understand society and the problems it faces? What sense can be made of the behaviour of markets and government interventions? How can citizens understand the course that their lives take and the opportunities available to them? There has been much debate surrounding what methodology and methods are appropriate for social science research. In a larger sense, there have been differences in quantitative and qualitative approaches and some attempts to combine them. In addition, there have also been questions of the influence of competing values on all social activities versus the need to find an objective understanding. Thus, this aptly named volume strives to develop new methods through the practice of ‘social synthesis’, describing a methodology that perceives societies and economies as manifestations of highly dynamic, interactive and emergent complex systems. Furthermore, helping us to understand that an analysis of parts alone does not always lead to an informed understanding, Haynes presents to the contemporary researcher an original tool called Dynamic Pattern Synthesis (DPS) – a rigorous method that informs us about how specific complex social and economic systems adapt over time. A timely and significant monograph, Social Synthesis will appeal to advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students, research professionals and academic researchers informed by sociology, economics, politics, public policy, social policy and social psychology.
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His most recent book, which is part of our complexity in social sciences series at Routledge, is aptly titled, SOCIAL SYNTHESIS: Finding Dynamic Patterns in Complex Social Systems.


How is it possible to understand society and the problems it faces? What sense can be made of the behaviour of markets and government interventions? How can citizens understand the course that their lives take and the opportunities available to them? There has been much debate surrounding what methodology and methods are appropriate for social science research. In a larger sense, there have been differences in quantitative and qualitative approaches and some attempts to combine them. In addition, there have also been questions of the influence of competing values on all social activities versus the need to find an objective understanding. Thus, this aptly named volume strives to develop new methods through the practice of ‘social synthesis’, describing a methodology that perceives societies and economies as manifestations of highly dynamic, interactive and emergent complex systems. Furthermore, helping us to understand that an analysis of parts alone does not always lead to an informed understanding, Haynes presents to the contemporary researcher an original tool called Dynamic Pattern Synthesis (DPS) – a rigorous method that informs us about how specific complex social and economic systems adapt over time. A timely and significant monograph, Social Synthesis will appeal to advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students, research professionals and academic researchers informed by sociology, economics, politics, public policy, social policy and social psychology.
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Thanks, Professor Haynes,
for doing this interview…
1. To begin, can you tell us a bit about your academic
background? More specifically, how did you end up in policy evaluation and
applied social science?
HAYNES: My first
degree was in combined social sciences and social work. Over four years it
provided a great interdisciplinary foundation. The last two years increasingly
focused on social work practice.
It was a
fantastic four years. When I graduated, I got a job as a generic court
probation officer and then later specialised in developing new services for
substance misuse. At that point, I started to get involved in research and
training.
All the
new substance treatment programmes had to have evaluation built into them. It
was immediately apparent that evaluation was complex and did not easily provide
straightforward answers. For example, for the most dependent substance
misusers, it was very difficult to estimate which service users would do best
with different treatment types. I really enjoyed the research challenge and
enrolled for an MSc in advanced social research methods at the UK Open
University.
2. What
got you involved in the development of methods?
HAYNES: After
completing my MSc, I started a PhD examining how to use mixed methods to plan
social services. My PhD soon started to show up the severe limitations of using
traditional statistical methods for modelling historical patterns in order to
plan future services. This took me into complexity theory. I moved permanently
into an academic post. This was in the 1990s.
A number
of seminal pieces about the application of complexity theory to the social
sciences were published at that time in the US, and just beginning to influence
Europe. I was fortunate to have David
Byrne as my PhD examiner and he was publishing his important book in the UK, Complexity theory and the social sciences.
The late Paul Cilliers monograph, Complexity
and postmodernism came out at a similar time.
After
that, David’s approach encouraged me to try methods like cluster analysis and then
QCA. This resulted in me succeeding in getting ESRC funding to apply these
methods to comparing the social networks of older people alongside different
government expenditure patterns. It was a comparative study across several
countries. Cluster analysis and QCA allowed the study to demonstrate that there
were different patterns within the data and not one aggregate pattern. For
example, Scandinavian, Northern Europe, and Southern Europe all demonstrated
their own separate patterns, but also with dynamic and evolving changes over
time.
In more
recent years, I got frustrated with the competing strengths and weaknesses of
cluster analysis and QCA and trying to decide which was the best method to use
in a given research situation. It then occurred to me, the answer was staring
me in the face, to bring them together into a mixed method. Then you could get
the best characteristics of each method counter balancing the weakness in the
other. That is how Dynamic Pattern Synthesis (DPS) was born.
3. Can
you provide us an overview of what you mean by social synthesis? For example, why
is social synthesis so important for social science?
HAYNES: Social
synthesis is the art of examining social issues and social practices through a
more holistic lens rather than a narrow hypothesis. It is founded on the idea
from complexity theory that cases and social phenomena are often dynamic and
highly interactive with each other. It is closely related to systems theory in
this respect. Therefore, experimental and quasi-experimental approaches are
extremely difficult to design with regard to knowing what to include and what is
left out. Of course, experimental methods can work with replication and
incremental adjustments, but that is resource and time intensive and not
necessarily the best starting research design. This made me favour initial
explorative approaches to large datasets, like using cluster analysis.
There are
still limitations. Social synthesis cannot be a ‘theory of everything’, it has
to have modelling boundaries, but it starts with the premise that is best to
look more broadly rather than to focus its measurements too quickly and too
soon into a reduced area of coverage.
4. What
is your method Dynamic Pattern Synthesis (DPS) about, relative to this issue of
synthesis? For example, how do you see
it as an advance on case-comparative method?
HAYNES: Dynamic
Pattern Synthesis starts with an explorative synthesis rather than an explanatory
hypothesis (although the latter can be introduced later in the method via QCA,
if appropriate). It keeps the focus on being able to identify and compare each
case rather than getting aggregate measures that are supposed to represent
large groups of cases. It is very much a case based method, but one that tries
to maximise the variable evidence for why a case is located where it is.
5. Is
there any link to critical realism?
HAYNES: I think
the contextual aspect of critical realism is highly relevant. When using
critical realism, generative mechanisms and causality are situated in a
changing social context. This frames
and restricts any attempts at generalisation. It is a realistic and partial
perspective on causality.
6. The
case studies in your book are excellent. I found them very useful because
of their depth and variety, which helped me to see how your method works in
different instances. How did you happen to choose those case studies?
HAYNES: Because
of the pressures of time and resources, my approach to the case studies was
pragmatic and based on my previous research with secondary data. I had been
involved in some research looking at the relationship of economics with public
policy, post the 2008 financial crisis, so the Euro case study emerged from
that stream of work. I also have a history of using secondary data to
understand the changing demography and care needs of older people. Similarly, I have focused previously on
issues of territorial justice and the differences between local governments.
Probably
the most innovative and speculative case study for me was trying to see if DPS
made any sense with a small sub sample of micro data about older people. I
think it is interesting how the resulting issues are very similar to challenges
in qualitative research. It is hard to find meaningful consistent patterns over
time at the most micro level. Social patterns seem easier to identify and work
with at scale, at the meso and macro level, and that fits with the application
to policy studies and evaluating policy at governmental levels.
7. What
are the one or two most important things you want readers to come away with
reading your book?
HAYNES: I would
really like other researchers to try out DPS and to see how it works with
different data sets in different contexts. I would also like to see this kind of
method taken up in heterodox economics/political economics to reach a better
understanding about macroeconomic theory and future interventions in the post
financial crisis world. I think there is currently a normative imperative to be
adventurous with macroeconomic research, to look for new public policy
interventions in the economy.
8. What
is the next step in your development of DPS?
HAYNES: I really
want to communicate the basics of how the method works and to share the
mechanics of this, and to encourage more case studies and more use, and to get
other academics to ‘add-on’ to the mix of methods used in DPS. The
methodological purpose is clear, to identify case patterns (that are likely to
be time and space limited) and what the socio-economic meaning of these
patterns is. DPS is not the only way to identify and name these patterns, there
will be future evolutions of DPS as a method and better alternatives - I am sure. I would also really like to see if I could
find and persuade collaborators to attempt to develop R packages in DPS. I do
not have the skills and time to do many of these things alone, so I need to network
and collaborate.
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17/11/2017
COMPLEX-IT A new App for Policy Evaluation at the Nexus
Many thanks for the Centre for the Evaluation of Complexity Across the Nexus for the opportunity to present this November, 2017 at the CECAN International Symposium on Complexity Approaches to Evaluate Global Nexus Policy Challenges
For those who attended, here are several links related to my presentation:
1. Here is the link to my POWER POINT PRESENTATION
2. Link to COMPLEX-IT, which can be downloaded for free.
3. Link to the SACS Toolkit, which is the methodological framework for the COMPLEX-IT App, which is a case-based computational modeling approach to data mining complex systems, including those policy issues which sit at the nexus.
16/10/2017
Public Health is a Complex Systems Problem. When will we finally embrace this fact?
My point is simple enough. Consider the difference in the following two research questions:
1. How do we help people addicted to opioids overcome their problem?Or how about this research question?
2. Versus, how do we fix the health systems in which people live so they are less likely to become addicted to opioids?
1. How do we help poor people deal with their health vulnerabilities?In neither case is the difference between these research questions one of psychology versus sociology. Instead, it is a difference between a reductionist perspective and a complex systems view. The difference is also a matter of method: conventional variable-focused statistics versus computational methods focused on systems and cases and intersectionality. Public policy and community health and clinical care research needs to change -- as do the views of people in general. The world is too complex to keep thinking the way most continue to do.
2. Versus, how do we fix the communities and systems in which people live so that poverty is not a vulnerability to their health?
As a primer, read the following book we wrote in 2015.

See also Battle-Fisher's excellent book:

See also the work being done at CECAN on complex nexus issues, which takes the issue of complexity to another level, at which point one is confronted with how the complexities of one public policy issue (and the changes made to address it) intersect and impact other policy issues and vice versa.

And, for an equally exhaustive and wider read on this view as concerns health and healthcare, go to the New England Complex Systems Institute and read through the excellent work by Bar-Yam and colleagues.

04/10/2017
Wonderful 2 minute Video on Our Globally Interconnected Web of Life
Saw this on twitter and was so impressed with it. Just a wonderful example of our ecological interdependence and Capra's constant call for us to acknowledge our complex global web of life.
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